Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.002822 0.003023 0.003239 0.003493 0.003785 0.004113 0.004513
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.002541 0.002814 0.003127 0.003522 0.004015 0.004625 0.005462
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.002310 0.002616 0.002984 0.003471 0.004121 0.004992 0.006325
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.002200 0.002543 0.002971 0.003567 0.004415 0.005657 0.007813
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002103 0.002470 0.002943 0.003631 0.004668 0.006317 0.009585
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.001979 0.002349 0.002837 0.003566 0.004711 0.006648 0.010934
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.001855 0.002217 0.002702 0.003440 0.004635 0.006750 0.011856
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001783 0.002149 0.002649 0.003429 0.004738 0.007203 0.013960
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001655 0.001998 0.002467 0.003202 0.004445 0.006809 0.013449
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001611 0.001960 0.002444 0.003221 0.004581 0.007330 0.016238
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001588 0.001950 0.002461 0.003302 0.004841 0.008207 0.021705
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001548 0.001912 0.002433 0.003307 0.004956 0.008787 0.027357
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001521 0.001894 0.002438 0.003374 0.005221 0.009919 0.042398
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001478 0.001851 0.002401 0.003365 0.005330 0.010688 0.063846
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001427 0.001793 0.002338 0.003305 0.005317 0.011080 0.091085
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001410 0.001786 0.002353 0.003387 0.005643 0.012886 0.512962
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001389 0.001770 0.002354 0.003443 0.005922 0.014830 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001347 0.001721 0.002298 0.003383 0.005899 0.015415 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001297 0.001659 0.002216 0.003268 0.005718 0.015101 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001270 0.001630 0.002189 0.003257 0.005811 0.016363 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001208 0.001545 0.002066 0.003050 0.005351 0.014251 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001190 0.001528 0.002056 0.003067 0.005503 0.015799 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.001183 0.001529 0.002074 0.003142 0.005830 0.018962 NaN